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Trust In Institutions from 2010 to Present: Drivers, Shocks, and Recovery
Author: Kagaba Amina G.
Publisher: NEWPORT INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF LAW, COMMUNICATION AND LANGUAGES (NIJLCL)
Published: 2026
Section: Faculty of Business and Management
Abstract
Trust in institutions is a fundamental component of effective governance, democratic legitimacy, and social
cooperation. Since 2010, institutional trust has experienced significant fluctuations across countries and
governance systems, influenced by a combination of performance-related factors, political developments, economic
conditions, and major societal shocks. This paper examines the evolution of trust in institutions from 2010 to the
present, focusing on the conceptual foundations of institutional trust, the key drivers of trust formation and
erosion, and the mechanisms through which institutions recover credibility following crises. The study identifies
five principal determinants of institutional trust: perceived performance quality, transparency, corruption,
exposure to crises, and media independence. It further analyzes the impact of major shocks, including political
scandals, governance failures, anti-corruption reforms, public protests, and the COVID-19 pandemic, on trust
trajectories across different institutional contexts. Through a comparative examination of liberal democracies,
hybrid regimes, and non-democratic systems, the paper highlights the diverse ways in which institutional
structures, governance quality, and socio-political environments shape public confidence. The findings
demonstrate that trust is dynamic, context-dependent, and closely linked to perceptions of legitimacy,
accountability, and effectiveness. The study concludes that strengthening institutional trust requires sustained
commitments to transparency, responsiveness, anti-corruption measures, crisis preparedness, and citizen
engagement. These factors are essential for enhancing governance resilience and fostering long-term public
confidence in institutions.